Semi LED fab capacity: Cause for concern, says Dieseldorff, SEMI

 

By Debra Vogler, senior technical editor

January 24, 2011 — Speaking at SEMI’s Industry Strategy Symposium (ISS) in January, Christian Dieseldorff, SEMI’s senior analyst, provided an in-depth look at fab construction, capacity, and capex in 2011 and 2012 (see figures).

Listen to Dieseldorff’s interview:  Download for iPhone/iPod users  or Play Now

In this podcast, Dieseldorff walks listeners through fab construction projects by region and device type (LED, non-memory, memory, etc.). He speaks with Debra Vogler, senior technical editor.

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Figure 1. Fab spending on front end facilities (Construction and equipping, including discretes). SOURCE: SEMI

Dieseldorff sees a decline in construction projects in 2011, followed by a double-digit decline in projects in 2012.

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Figure 2. Fab construction projects: Count of fabs vs. type. SOURCE: SEMI

Breaking out LED fabs, Dieseldorff notes that the largest growth regions (capacity and number of participating companies) are China, Taiwan and Korea. For 2011 and 2012, however, there aren’t many new LED fabs. 

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Figure 3. Equipping fabs — chip sales & capex trends: Both riding the same rollercoaster. SOURCE: SEMI

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