Semico_ASIC_market_update_pent_up_silicon_design_demand

(October 26, 2010)Semico presented an ASIC market update during a Xilinx-hosted event this week. Semico noted a low growth forecast for the traditional ASIC market, and programmable logic growth being driven by increasing requirement for bandwidth for portable connectivity. Presenter Richard Wawrzyniak’s discussion is summarized below.

ASIC design started to recover in 2010, growing again, but at lower levels than historic rates. Total ASIC market revenues for 2010 will be $13.1 billion, says Semico, reaching $18.2 billion in 2015, a 6.8% CAGR. Total programmable logic growth in 2010 is expected to be ~47.4%.

ASIC design starts declined 7.7% in 2009, recovering with 7.4% growth in 2010. Semico notes that designs are getting "long in the tooth," and SoCs are buoyed by derivative designs. Pent up demand for fresh silicon and new architectures will probably be unleashed in 2011. By 2015, the total SoC market will reach $87.7 billion, an 8.8% CAGR.

The SIP market recovered in 2010 and sees long term growth through 2015. CPU cores are the largest revenue segment with 14.1% CAGR. Logic is the second largest category, but with only a 5,9% CAGR. Analog IP has the highest CAGR at 20.9%. SIP subsystems are emerging as a new driver for IP, SoC and ASIC Design starts markets. New silicon functionality will become possible.

For more information, contact Richard Wawrzyniak, Semico, at richw@semico.com

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