Comparing market sizes and forecasted growth rates for systems, ICs

Total production value of electronic systems increased 5 percent in 2014 to $1,488 billion.  Electronic system production is forecast to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2 percent from 2013-2018. Figure 1 compares the relative market sizes and projected growth rates of 10 major systems segments covered in the 2015 edition of IC Insights’ IC Market Drivers report.  These 10 market categories represented a little over two-thirds of the total production value of all electronic systems in 2014.

Cellphones expanded their lead over standard personal computers (desktops and notebooks) as the largest electronic systems market in 2014 after overtaking standard PCs for the first time in 2013. Cellphones accounted for 18 percent of total electronics systems sales ($265.2 billion) versus about 13 percent for standard PCs ($196.0 billion) in 2014.  As seen in Figure 1, cellular phone sales are projected to rise by a CAGR of 5.6 percent in the 2013-2018 period, while standard PC revenues are expected to slump by an annual rate of -1.1 percent, partly due to the popularity of tablet computers and growing use of smartphones to access the Internet.

ic fig 1

 

Figure 2 shows the market sizes and projected growth rates of IC sales for 11 major electronic system categories covered in the 2015 IC Market Drivers report.  After dominating IC sales for most of the last two decades, standard PCs were unseated by cellphones as the largest end-use IC application in 2013 and the gap widened in 2014.  Cellular handsets accounted for 25 percent of IC sales in 2014, while standard PCs represented about 21 percent of the total.  IC sales for standard PCs have stalled out while cellphone IC revenues are projected to grow by a CAGR of 8.7 percent between 2013 and 2018.  Among these 11 end-use market segments, IC sales growth is expected to be the strongest in systems for connections to the Internet of Things (a CAGR of 22.3 percent) in the five-year forecast period.  IC revenues generated by these 11 end-use systems categories represented nearly 80 percent of total integrated circuit sales worldwide in 2014.

ic fig 2

 

IC Market Drivers 2015—A Study of Emerging and Major End-Use Applications Fueling Demand for Integrated Circuits examines the largest, existing system opportunities for ICs and evaluates the potential for new applications that are expected to help fuel the market for ICs.

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